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Why AUD USD Moves When You Are...AUD/USD can move sharply when many traders are asleep. Activities during the Asian trading session and news from Australia, Japan, and China can affect the currency pair. So understanding what happens and how that influences the pair’s movement can help you make better trading decisions in the morning.
Key Takeaways
Have you ever opened your trading platform in the morning to find the AUD/USD pair sitting at a very different price from what you last saw? You must be wondering what happened while you were away.
What happens is that the forex market doesn’t stop moving. It keeps moving even when traders remain asleep. However, many big changes in the AUD/USD pair happen during the Asian trading session, when the Australian and other Asian markets stay active.
Now, if you want to understand the currency pair, it’s important to pay attention to what’s happening overnight, even if you don’t trade during those hours.
The Forex market operates 24 hours a day, five days a week. But trading activity doesn’t stay the same throughout the day. In general, the market is divided into three main sessions, which are as follows.
Now, keep in mind that the three sessions can sometimes overlap. Why does this matter? Because trading activity can increase when sessions overlap, resulting in bigger price changes.
The Asian session is particularly important for the AUD/USD currency pair. The reason is that it covers Australia’s main trading hours. And it’s during these hours that news related to Australia’s economy and decisions made by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) can affect the pair.
If you think the Asian session is a quiet time for the AUD/USD pair, then think again. In fact, that time can be a very busy period for it. Why?
Because Australian economic reports give out inflation figures, employment numbers, and also the interest rate decisions. Such data often affects the Australian dollar. So if the figures are better than what everyone expected, the Australian dollar gains strength. And when the numbers don’t meet expectations, the currency’s value goes down.
For example, when the RBA makes announcements about interest rates, or when its Governor delivers a speech, there can be sudden changes in AUD/USD. This can happen during the time when European and US traders are asleep.
News related to China’s economy can also affect the AUD/USD pair’s movement. Australia sells large amounts of commodities to China, including iron ore. So the demand for Australian exports obviously increases when China’s economy sees growth, and falls when the economy shows signs of slowing down.
This is why you should always keep an eye on Chinese reports related to manufacturing, retail sales, and economic growth when trading AUD/USD.
You should also closely watch Japan. Changes in interest rates in Japan or major economic events in the country can affect the confidence of investors.
For example, a policy change by the Bank of Japan can influence where investors put their money. This can cause the AUD/USD pair to move, where the fact that the pair lacks the yen doesn’t matter here. Hence, keep in mind that if you keep track of Japanese news, you will be able to generate a better AUD to USD forecast.
How to Check Overnight Activity
Before you start trading, spend some time reviewing the Asian session. Don’t look only at the current AUD/USD price.
You do not need to stay awake all night. Review overnight news and check whether the current price supports the existing trend. Trading charts and calendar can help you prepare for the European and US sessions and make a better AUD to USD forecast without rushing into trades.
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